I’ve been watching the delegate count for Barack Obama go up all day long. I don’t know how accurate their estimate is, but CNN has Obama at 2113 right now (up from my 2111 report a few minutes ago). Other networks are being more conservative with their count; everyone else has him under 2110. However, I don’t know how often they update. CNN seems to update the count every 15 minutes to half an hour, while the rest of less frequent.
If you take CNN’s count as true (I’ve already declared my support for MSNBC’s “Middle of the Road” count), could he possibly pass the mark before the delegates are even counted for South Dakota and Montana?
I don’t think so. I like how the Obama camp has played things out today. They waited until the last day to release a bunch of superdelegate supporters. However, I think they may wait until after the votes are counted to release the rest. So that at least the voters of SD and MO can feel like they pushed him past the mark. Democracy in action.